GBP/USD. April 3. The trading system. "Regression Channels". The European Union proposes to postpone Brexit to 2020

4-hour timeframe


Technical details:

The upper linear regression channel: direction - up.

The lower linear regression channel: direction - down.

Moving average (20; smoothed) - sideways.

CCI: 78.4502

From a fundamental point of view, the GBP/USD currency pair failed to continue the logical downward movement and returned to the area above the moving average line. In the meantime, the whole Brexit procedure was on the verge of another transfer. This time, we are talking about next year. Theresa May herself wants to postpone Brexit to a date no later than May 22, in order not to participate in the elections to the European Parliament, and to spend the time gained in negotiations with the opposition forces with the aim of obtaining approval for at least some version of Brexit. The news that the country's withdrawal from the EU may be postponed is not perceived positively by the markets for the first time. It seems that the markets consider any transfer to be a postponement of the implementation of the "tough" Brexit scenario, as well as an increase in the possibility of holding a second referendum, or the refusal of Brexit in general. However, whatever the outcome of May's negotiations with the EU or with the Labor Party, in fact, the UK now has only one way – to organize new votes and hope that the majority will still be formed. However, if the last time the Parliament voted for all Brexit options in a row, several scenarios did not get just a few votes, which gives hope for their adoption in future votes. However, it is precisely these options that should be put on the agenda. In general, the pound received another temporary respite, and Brexit – a new portion of uncertainty.

Nearest support levels:

S1 - 1.3123

S2 - 1.3062

S3 - 1.3000

Nearest resistance levels:

R1 - 1.3184

R2 - 1.3245

R3 - 1.3306

Trading recommendations:

The pair GBP/USD has fixed above the moving. Therefore, purchase orders with targets at 1.3184 and 1.3245 have become relevant again. Until a new negative has been received from Britain, the pound may strengthen for some time.

Short positions will become relevant only after the price is fixed back below the moving with the first target at 1.3062. Today in the UK, it is worth paying attention to the publication of the index of business activity in the services sector.

In addition to the technical picture should also take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.

Explanations for illustrations:

The upper linear regression channel is the blue lines of the unidirectional movement.

The lower linear channel is the purple lines of the unidirectional movement.

CCI is the blue line in the indicator regression window.

The moving average (20; smoothed) is the blue line on the price chart.

Murray levels - multi-colored horizontal stripes.

Heikin Ashi is an indicator that colors bars in blue or purple.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company -